Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 66.5%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto10 giu 25, 17:47 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves YES if a commercially available CPU implementing full CHERI capability-based memory protection ships at least 10,000 units to customers by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution Criteria:
- CPU must be capable of running a general-purpose OS (e.g., Linux, FreeBSD, or Windows).
- CHERI support means hardware-enforced capabilities per the CHERI architecture developed by the University of Cambridge.
- “Shipped” means physically delivered to customers or integrators (not just manufactured or pre-ordered).
- Units shipped can be documented via press releases, credible news sources, financial filings, or direct statements from vendors.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 622,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 411,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026??
- Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if a commercially available CPU implementing full CHERI capability-based memory protection ships at least 10,000 units to customers by December 31, 2026.