Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a federal Georgist Land Value Tax (LVT) get implemented in the US by 2029??

Manifold Markets quota No al 96.6% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Will a federal Georgist Land Value Tax (LVT) get implemented in the US by 2029?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

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No 96.6%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 30 minuti fa

5 feb 25, 20:30 UTC2 gen 29, 06:59 UTC

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Resolves YES if Land Value Tax is implemented in some form federally by 2029.

Resolves NO otherwise.
This resolves as YES only if a Federal LVT gets implemented (city, state LVTs would not qualify).
The tax does not have to replace the US federal income tax.
If it's unclear whether the US has implemented a LVT, I will defer to either @LarsDoucet or @ScottAlexander if they write about it.
Related to https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/is-doge-implementing-land-value-tax, but a timeframe of Trump's term.