Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 63.5%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 49 minuti fa
In ritardo12 set 23, 22:06 UTC2 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if a member of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential elections.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves YES if a democrat wins the postponed elections, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to NO.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 64%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
