Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 94.7% al 19 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030??

Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.

Come viene liquidato Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve YES if any elecrical appliance, computer, or other device is commercially available by Jan 1, 2030, which incorporates superconductors that operate at ambient pressure above 0C without requiring active cooling (may be LK-99 or some other chemistry).

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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

• Albuquerque+90.0pt99.5%
• Miami+6.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach-76.0pt16.5%

+32 altri esiti

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508,1K €

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?

• 56° to 57°+48.0pt99.5%
• 58° to 59°-37.0pt0.5%
• 60° to 61°-3.0pt

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?

• 86° or above+50.0pt99.5%
• 84° to 85°-35.0pt0.5%
• 82° to 83°-9.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?

• New York City99.5%
• Philadelphia99.5%
• Phoenix99.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?

• 82° to 83°+63.0pt99.5%
• 80° to 81°-22.0pt0.5%
• 84° to 85°-30.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• Miami48.5%
• Albuquerque44%
• West Palm Beach35%

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