Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 66%
Previsori
114
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
14 gen 26, 19:29 UTC28 feb 27, 09:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsOctober 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2027 be the hottest year on record
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?
KalshiRegole
Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA
- [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.