Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98%
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In ritardo3 giu 23, 15:18 UTC1 feb 35, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
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Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects Boston, Massachusetts, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
