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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Mike Boudreaux 2.6%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori

4

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 giorni fa

Obsoleto
2 lug 25, 15:2631 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Mike Boudreaux3%

Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be sourced from the California Secretary of State's website.
  • California's 16th State Senate district encompasses parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties.
  • The district has a history of competitive elections.
  • In the 2022 election, incumbent Democrat Melissa Hurtado narrowly defeated Republican David Shepard by a margin of 22 votes.

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Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be sourced from the California Secretary of State's website.
  • California's 16th State Senate district encompasses parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties.
  • The district has a history of competitive elections.
  • In the 2022 election, incumbent Democrat Melissa Hurtado narrowly defeated Republican David Shepard by a margin of 22 votes.