Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRick Zbur (Incumbent) 88.9%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto25 ago 25, 15:04 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
- Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
- Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
- Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
- (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)