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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district

PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Rick Zbur (Incumbent) 66.8%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori

1

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto
25 ago 25, 15:0431 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Rick Zbur (Incumbent)67%

Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)