Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRick Zbur (Incumbent) 66.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto25 ago 25, 15:04 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
- Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
- Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
- Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
- (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district?
- Manifold Markets quota Rick Zbur (Incumbent) al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district?
- Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria