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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent) 6.8%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori

4

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 giorni fa

Obsoleto
18 giu 25, 14:3631 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)7%

Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
  • The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,035.94+0.95%EthereumETH$1,656.17-0.59%SolanaSOL$65.58+0.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851-0.03%XRPXRP$1.12-1.60%BNBBNB$602.25+1.04%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
  • The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.