Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJ. D. Vance 83.2%In testa tra 41 esiti
Previsori
129
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mar 24, 14:30 UTC8 ago 28, 13:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWho will be in the first 2028 Republican Party presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegole
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
