Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAny Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress 100%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 21:06 UTC2 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson endorse, or suggest voting for any Democrat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson and Graham Platner meet before election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
KalshiWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if Tucker Carlson releases an interview with that person or group between March 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- An interview is defined as a conversation published on Tucker Carlson's platforms (Tucker Carlson Network, The Tucker Carlson Show, Tucker on X, or affiliated channels).
- For the purposes of this market, a debate shall count as an interview.
- The interview must be for at least 5 minutes.
- For group categories (e.g., "the named outcome"), the market resolves YES if Carlson interviews any member of that group.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)?
- Manifold Markets quota Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)?
- Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria