KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 86%
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
693,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 23:32 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year??
- Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.