Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 16:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeGavin Newsom 71.6%In testa tra 19 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-3.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto12 dic 25, 22:34 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate for president win every state that has a Democratic senator?
Manifold Markets2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
KalshiWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsSouth Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketIf this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any candidate who finishes in the top 2 (first or second place) in any single state's Democratic primary election.(by popular vote, not delegates) The 2028 presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with primaries occurring in the months prior.
- Resolution will be determined by official state primary results published by state election authorities and major news outlets covering the 2028 Democratic primary.
- Note: Democrats have no clear presidential primary calendar for 2028, so the specific states and timing remain to be determined by the DNC.
- Must be a STATE!
- Democrats Abroad,American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, US Virgin Islands,