Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJ D Vance 53.8%In testa tra 14 esiti
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto12 dic 25, 22:30 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.
- Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
- This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
- Must get over 5% to count.
- If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
- A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.
