Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
PoliticaPolitica USAElezione1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 16:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
JD Vance (Vice President) 24.8%In testa tra 26 esiti
JD Vance (Vice President) 24.8%Previsori
222
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto13 ago 24, 19:26 UTC26 ago 28, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.
- Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
