Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Donald Trump 79.4%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
70
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto17 lug 24, 16:41 UTC2 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the 48th President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 847,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Manifold Markets quota Donald Trump al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As of midnight US eastern time.