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  3. Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

One-OffPoliticaElezione2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Scott Wiener
Scott Wiener 70.1%
In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori

153

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

4 giu 24, 5:211 gen 29, 7:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Bruce Lou
Bruce Lou
0.1%
Christine Pelosi
Christine Pelosi
0.3%
Jane Kim
Jane Kim
0.1%
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
0.1%

Esito scelto

Scott Wiener70%

Regole

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.

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Regole

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.