Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Magnus Carlsen 95.9%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 25, 21:40 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
Mercati aperti
ChessPOLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Romania?
- Alexandru Nazare-4.3pt25%
- Sorin Grindeanu-1.6pt20%
- Eugen Tomac-5.7pt7%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
KALSHIPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+4.0pt44.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+2.0pt24.4%
- Naftali Bennett+1.0pt6.7%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
- Javokhir Sindarov+1.0pt66.7%
- Gukesh Dommaraju-4.0pt26.7%
- Fabiano Caruana0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHITitled Tuesday Winner: Sep 8
- Liem Le99%
- Hans Niemann+73.0pt79%
- Alireza Firouzja+18.0pt19%
+66 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 13,5K €
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 8: Sep 8
- Jeffery Xiong+81.0pt99%
- Hikaru Nakamura+54.0pt99%
- Jan-Krzysztof Duda+72.0pt99%
+66 altri esiti
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 5: Sep 8
- Hikaru Nakamura+78.0pt99%
- Hans Niemann+82.0pt98%
- Dmitry Andreikin+92.0pt98%
+66 altri esiti
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- Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
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- FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026
- Titled Tuesday Top 5: September 15
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Magnus Carlsen al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).