Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMagdalena Andersson (S) 72%-3.0ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-2.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto23 set 25, 07:11 UTC30 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
Manifold MarketsWill any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiNew Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiRegole
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
