Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 57.2%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
23 ott 25, 02:43 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiIn what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsFirst event in new White House ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the White House ballroom announced on the site of the East Wing of the White House is completed by the end of Donald Trump's second term as the President of the United States.
- The ballroom will be considered complete only if both of the following occur:
- An official announcement by the White House of the project's completion and/or official opening
- Construction on the building is completed or no longer ongoing according to reports by major media -- so if the ballroom is "officially opened" while some segments of construction still being finished that will not count until the construction is finished.
- President Trump's second term will be considered to have ended on January 20, 2029, or if Trump leaves office for any reason before then due to resignation, removal, or death.
