Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 11:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeBefore Jan 2029 67.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 25, 16:40 UTC1 feb 29, 17:35 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the date of the first official event held in the newly constructed White House ballroom.
- An "official event" is defined as any function, reception, dinner, or gathering hosted by the President, First Lady, or the White House administration that takes place within the completed new ballroom space.
- Resolution will be determined by the earliest confirmed date of such an event as reported in official White House statements (e.g., WhiteHouse.gov, presidential press briefings) or corroborated by reputable news organizations (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Wall Street Journal).
- Construction of a new, privately funded ballroom at the White House commenced in September 2025 under President Donald Trump.
- The project involves the demolition and rebuilding of the East Wing to create a 90,000-square-foot space designed to accommodate 900-999 people.
