Which third party will successfully get elected a U.S. Representative, Senator, Governor, or President first?
Politica14a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeLibertarian Party 33.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto2 apr 26, 16:45 UTC3 nov 40, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRegole
Eligible Parties
- Any political party other than the Democratic or Republican parties counts.
- National, state, or local third parties are all included.
- Independents do not count.
- Candidate Requirements
- The candidate must run officially on the ballot as a nominee of the third party.
