Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) 82.1%
In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+8.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 30 minuti fa
11 feb 24, 9:3819 set 26, 21:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.
This market closes one week after the election, and very likely before a new government has formed.
This market could close sooner if a successful vote of no confidence occurs then this is closed a week after the vote.
In the unlikely event no new government is formed after a vote of no confidence or election and a new election is called then this market will open again (if that's possible?) and close again one week after the new election.
This market will resolve Yes for the one party that successfully leads the formation of a new Swedish government, and No on all others (including parties that become part of a coalition government).
To be more precise it resolves Yes for the party that a newly elected Prime Minister is member of.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Manifold Markets quota Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) al 82% al 21 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? dovrebbe risolversi il 19 settembre 2026.
Come viene liquidato Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.