Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThe web will not substantially improve before 2032 85%In testa tra 27 esiti
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 23, 00:03 UTC4 apr 32, 11:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
The web is the dominant protocol for social computing.
- It's possible that the future's web will not have continuity with the web browsers of today.
- If the present batch of web browsers are deposed, which project will the deposer emerge from?
- Definition: A "next web" has arrived when a browser with a new rendering engine for a new site format becomes popular (adoption from 30% of people) while lacking tight integration with a fully webkit-compatible HTML renderer.
- It may (and probably should) be able to visit or embed traditional web pages, but these pages lack most of the above features, and most of the pages people actively use are in a new format.
- Background: The current web has fundamental issues.