Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mag 26, 11:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works
