Previsione della comunità attuale
Reform UK 62.1%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto8 lug 26, 04:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
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PolymarketWill Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
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KalshiWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the second Clacton by-election held between 8 July 2026 and the date of the next general election.
- If no such by-election takes place, this market will be voided.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be changed as necessary.
- To bet on the result of the first by-election, see this market: