Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Iowa's 1st District?
37.3 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party 60.4%+37.3ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+37.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 26, 01:33 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketIowa's 1st District margin of victory
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Iowa's 1st District: whichever district is numbered 1 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 1.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.