Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrats 51.1%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto7 set 26, 05:52 UTC7 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Arizona?
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KalshiRegole
Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this state in the 2028 us presidential election.
- N/a if republicans or democrats don’t win
- 2028 United States presidential election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
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- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
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- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Arizona??
- Manifold Markets quota Democrats al 51% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Arizona??
- Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Arizona? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Arizona??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this state in the 2028 us presidential election.