Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 2nd District?
0.9 pt (24h)PoliticaMonthlyPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20264g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party — Johnny Olszewski 97.9%+0.9ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
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1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 26, 05:55 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 2nd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
