Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 1st District?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party 96.7%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 26, 05:54 UTC13 dic 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lauren Jewett win the Louisiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Steve Scalise win the Louisiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 4th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 6th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 open U.S. Representative primary if a candidate wins a majority of the votes; otherwise the December 12, 2026 open general election between the top two, whatever their parties (Act 7 of 2026; Louisiana SOS calendar).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or the named outcome who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
