Previsione della comunità attuale
PP 83%+12.5ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+16.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 26, 05:34 UTC30 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: voter turnout
KalshiHow many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: Vox vote percent
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the political party that wins the highest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the Spanish general election scheduled for November 29, 2026.
- Primary Source: Official election results published by the Ministry of the Interior (Ministerio del Interior) or the Central Electoral Board (Junta Electoral Central - juntaelectoralcentral.es).
- Tiebreaker: In the event that two or more parties tie for the highest number of seats, the market will resolve to the party among them that received the highest total popular vote share nationwide.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, this market will resolve based on the next Spanish general election held.
- Coalitions running on a joint national list will be treated as that unified entity.
