Which party will win Maine's 2nd District (ME-2) in the 2028 presidential election?
2.1 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party 81.9%-2.1ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-2.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 26, 00:45 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket that gets the electoral vote of Maine's 2nd congressional district (ME-2) in the November 7, 2028 election.
- N/A if Maine no longer awards an electoral vote by district, or has no 2nd district.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the electors Maine certifies, or earlier once the AP has called the district and nothing could change it.
- Faithless electors don't change it.
