Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBill Clinton 40.5%+26.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+26.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 25, 19:10 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any current or former US president go to space before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAny US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.
- Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).
- The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.
- If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list.
- Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.
