Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2031-2040 26%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto7 set 26, 04:43 UTC1 gen 50, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Moon landing occur?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028?
FutuurHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegole
To my surprise, humanity has only ever landed one thing there, and it was a crash landing:
- [image]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_landings_on_extraterrestrial_bodies
- Apparently there is an ESA/JAXA mission arriving there this year, but that's just a pair of orbiters:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BepiColombo
- Maybe the fact that it's the mostest closest might help?
- https://youtu.be/SumDHcnCRuU?si=CyhuL92VK05CAgIF
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen??
- Manifold Markets quota 2031-2040 al 26% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen??
- When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: To my surprise, humanity has only ever landed one thing there, and it was a crash landing: