Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNov-Dec 2026 53.4%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-7.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 26, 22:51 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketSTRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES when Tesla's stock price (TSLA) closes at or above $500 on any trading day.
- Resolution will be verified using official closing prices from NASDAQ or Yahoo Finance.
- The market resolves NO if the stock never reaches $500 by the specified end date.
- Tesla's stock closed at $449.78 on December 31, 2025, requiring approximately an 11% gain to reach $500.
- The stock reached an intraday high of $498.83 on December 22, 2025, coming within 0.2% of the target.
Mercati aperti
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,6K €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 79,6K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 altri esiti
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Manifold Markets quota Nov-Dec 2026 al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- When will Tesla share price reach $500? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria