Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Not by 2030 60%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 gen 25, 08:35 UTC1 gen 31, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
KalshiRegole
Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- He was among the favorites for the 2024 prize and continues to be considered a strong candidate for future awards.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year in which Mircea Cărtărescu wins the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- If he wins the prize in any year from 2025 through 2030, the corresponding year option will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
- If he does not win the prize by the end of 2030, "the named outcome" will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
Mercati aperti
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
+28 altri esiti
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- 28,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,2K €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 altri esiti
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- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets quota Not by 2030 al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.