Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2030 or later 57.9%-2.1ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
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419
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.7 pts
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 23, 12:32 UTC11 nov 30, 22:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
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KalshiFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRegole
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.
- If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82.
- There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia.
- On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
- https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e
- [link preview]