When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
3.3 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIn January 2029 74.8%+3.3ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
21 feb 25, 14:17 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States:
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump's presidency ends before January 1, 2029 (e.g., is removed from office, or does not complete his second term)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump completes a full second term ending somtime the named outcome (specifically January 20, 2029, when the next president is expected to be sworn in, though the question is open to anytime during the month of January 2029 in order to account for some possibility that the date of the inaguration changes)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump remains president beyond January 31, 2029
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States??
- Manifold Markets quota In January 2029 al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States??
- When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.