Previsione della comunità attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-39.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 ore fa
Obsoleto4 set 26, 11:39 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
To satisfy the Payout Criterion, Anthropic must release to the public a model named "Mythos." Both conditions must be met by the same model:
- The model must be named "Mythos" (e.g., "Claude Mythos 5").
- A model that Anthropic describes as "Mythos-class" or as belonging to the Mythos tier, but that carries a different name (e.g., "Claude Fable 5"), does not satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if Anthropic states it is the same underlying model with modified safety features.
- Public release.
- A release restricted to a closed beta or to a limited set of approved or trusted organizations does not constitute a release to the public.
- A release available to the general public, including a release limited to a paid subscription tier, does constitute a release to the public.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — When will Anthropic release Mythos? · Before Dec 1, 2026 19%