Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore Jan 1 2030 90.6%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto14 apr 24, 22:26 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which booster will fly 50 times first?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
In April 2024, B1062 became the first falcon booster to reach 20 flights.
- The company says it is currently qualifying them to fly 40 times each.
- Coincidentally(?), if a booster flies 40 times, it will also break Discovery's record 39 flights, though the comparison of a shuttle orbiter and first stage of a more traditional rocket is difficult.
- Market resolves after a successful flight to orbit.
- Landing is not necessary.
- Local time at launch site.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,750 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,900 or above99%
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,400 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 467,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 434K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above+6.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $76,500 or above+10.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 224,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+28.0pt95%
- 65-89-10.0pt5%
- <40-34.5pt0%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+12.0pt47.1%
- 200-219+6.0pt42.2%
- 220-239-9.0pt6.9%
+23 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times?
- Manifold Markets quota Before Jan 1 2030 al 91% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times?
- When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In April 2024, B1062 became the first falcon booster to reach 20 flights.