What will OpenAI do before IPO that is easier as a private company? [Add answers]

Corporate ActionsOne-OffIA US Politics2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 9 giu 2026, 22:06 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

Give substantial equity to the US government 28.1%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 46 giorni fa

Obsoleto

8 giu 26, 21:5031 dic 28, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Give substantial equity to the US government28%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Options will resolve YES as they happen or NO if they are not reported by the time OpenAI is trading as a public company.

Things that happened before IPO but were not reported by trusted media sources (WSJ, FT, Reuters, NYT, The Information, etc.) or announced officially will not count.
Market resolves N/A if no IPO by the end of 2028.
OpenAI says they haven't decided when to go public yet, since there are things they want to do "that are likely easier as a private company".
I will judge what things are easier as a private company from my own subjective view and understanding, but if a resolution is controversial i might defer to a frontier LLM.
I will N/A added options that i consider to not be relevant to the private/public company question ("GPT-6 releases", "Sam Altman dies", "Trump says the words Obama or Obamacare")

Mercati Correlati

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1K €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

7,5K €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%

KALSHI

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1K €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

2,8K €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

2,5K €

OpenAI: 18%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,496.45+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,885.04+1.48%

SolanaSOL$74.91+1.36%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.46%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

BNBBNB$570.47+0.88%

Notizie Correlate

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Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regole

Options will resolve YES as they happen or NO if they are not reported by the time OpenAI is trading as a public company.

Things that happened before IPO but were not reported by trusted media sources (WSJ, FT, Reuters, NYT, The Information, etc.) or announced officially will not count.
Market resolves N/A if no IPO by the end of 2028.
OpenAI says they haven't decided when to go public yet, since there are things they want to do "that are likely easier as a private company".
I will judge what things are easier as a private company from my own subjective view and understanding, but if a resolution is controversial i might defer to a frontier LLM.
I will N/A added options that i consider to not be relevant to the private/public company question ("GPT-6 releases", "Sam Altman dies", "Trump says the words Obama or Obamacare")

What will OpenAI do before IPO that is easier as a private company? [Add answers]

Corporate ActionsOne-OffIA US Politics2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 9 giu 2026, 22:06 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

Give substantial equity to the US government 28.1%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 46 giorni fa

Obsoleto

8 giu 26, 21:5031 dic 28, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Give substantial equity to the US government28%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Options will resolve YES as they happen or NO if they are not reported by the time OpenAI is trading as a public company.

Things that happened before IPO but were not reported by trusted media sources (WSJ, FT, Reuters, NYT, The Information, etc.) or announced officially will not count.
Market resolves N/A if no IPO by the end of 2028.
OpenAI says they haven't decided when to go public yet, since there are things they want to do "that are likely easier as a private company".
I will judge what things are easier as a private company from my own subjective view and understanding, but if a resolution is controversial i might defer to a frontier LLM.
I will N/A added options that i consider to not be relevant to the private/public company question ("GPT-6 releases", "Sam Altman dies", "Trump says the words Obama or Obamacare")

Mercati Correlati

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1K €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

7,5K €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%

KALSHI

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1K €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

2,8K €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

2,5K €

OpenAI: 18%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,496.45+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,885.04+1.48%

SolanaSOL$74.91+1.36%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.46%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

BNBBNB$570.47+0.88%

Notizie Correlate

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regole

Options will resolve YES as they happen or NO if they are not reported by the time OpenAI is trading as a public company.

Things that happened before IPO but were not reported by trusted media sources (WSJ, FT, Reuters, NYT, The Information, etc.) or announced officially will not count.
Market resolves N/A if no IPO by the end of 2028.
OpenAI says they haven't decided when to go public yet, since there are things they want to do "that are likely easier as a private company".
I will judge what things are easier as a private company from my own subjective view and understanding, but if a resolution is controversial i might defer to a frontier LLM.
I will N/A added options that i consider to not be relevant to the private/public company question ("GPT-6 releases", "Sam Altman dies", "Trump says the words Obama or Obamacare")