What will OpenAI do before IPO that is easier as a private company? [Add answers]
Operazioni societarieOne-OffIAPolitica USA2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGive substantial equity to the US government 28.1%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto8 giu 26, 21:50 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Largest private company end of October?
Polymarket3rd largest private company end of October?
Polymarket2nd largest private company end of October?
PolymarketWill there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Polymarket[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsRegole
Options will resolve YES as they happen or NO if they are not reported by the time OpenAI is trading as a public company.
- Things that happened before IPO but were not reported by trusted media sources (WSJ, FT, Reuters, NYT, The Information, etc.) or announced officially will not count.
- Market resolves N/A if no IPO by the end of 2028.
- OpenAI says they haven't decided when to go public yet, since there are things they want to do "that are likely easier as a private company".
- I will judge what things are easier as a private company from my own subjective view and understanding, but if a resolution is controversial i might defer to a frontier LLM.
- I will N/A added options that i consider to not be relevant to the private/public company question ("GPT-6 releases", "Sam Altman dies", "Trump says the words Obama or Obamacare")
