Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAnthropic or Meta release a new model 92.2%In testa tra 25 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-3.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto1 set 26, 04:19 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in September 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegole
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 8,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets quota Anthropic or Meta release a new model al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.