Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale11-20% 33%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto25 ago 23, 21:31 UTC26 giu 31, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Fraction of US residents in cities increases between 2025 and 2035?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
KalshiWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsWhat share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsPandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegole
I will take the best estimate I can find and try to have the numbers represent the facts at the end of the year.
