Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeConnie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins 77.9%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto13 mag 26, 16:10 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.
- For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
- Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.
