Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
Brad Finstad 74.5%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+4.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto
5 set 25, 20:5231 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?
Outcomes:
• the named outcome (R – incumbent)
• the named outcome (DFL – challenger)
• the named outcome (Independent challenger)
• Other (for any certified write-in or late-filing candidate)
Definition of winner: The candidate who receives the most votes in the official certified results of the November 3, 2026 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District.
Source of truth: Official results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (or, if unavailable, Associated Press or other widely recognized election authorities).
Time: Resolution will occur after certification, expected December 2026.
Edge cases:
• If the election is postponed, the market will remain open until certification.
• If recounts occur, the market will resolve according to the final certified outcome.
• If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified before the election, their option will still be valid but will resolve “NO” if they do not win.
• If no resolution is possible (e.g., court-ordered rerun without certification), the market may resolve N/A, but every effort will be made to resolve to an actual outcome.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
Manifold Markets quota Brad Finstad al 75% al 21 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
Come viene liquidato Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?