Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:09 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 95%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto1 feb 25, 13:07 UTC9 dic 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold Markets"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Manifold MarketsTrump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves to YES if Trump is US President for one day in 2030z
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- Resolves to NO if he passes away before 2030.
