Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.7%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto13 nov 25, 23:48 UTC19 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWho else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsTrump leaves office before end of second term?
Manifold MarketsThe United States gains >10,000 square kilometers of territory before Trump leaves office
Manifold MarketsWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump leaves office before the end of his current term (January 20, 2029) for any reason directly related to the Epstein files or documents.
- This includes resignation, impeachment and conviction, or removal via the 25th Amendment if explicitly triggered by Epstein-related revelations or political pressure stemming from the files.
- The market resolves NO if Trump completes his term or leaves office for unrelated reasons (health, other scandals, etc.).
- If Trump leaves office and the primary cause is ambiguous or disputed, resolution will be determined by the creator's assessment of whether Epstein files were a material factor in the departure.
- Trump promised during the 2024 election to release the Justice Department's "Epstein files," but his administration has resisted doing so.