Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.8%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
25 mar 26, 20:04 UTC25 mar 27, 19:48 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives before the Iran war ends.
- The Iran war is defined as the conflict that began on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites across Iran.
- The war ends when a ceasefire agreement is formally signed and takes effect, or when major combat operations cease for 14 days
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Impeachment: Official House vote to impeach Trump on any charges