Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeKevin Hern 75.4%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mar 26, 06:08 UTC3 gen 27, 07:05 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Markwayne Mullin win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?
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KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves based on who Who wins the seat in the 2026 Election? not the temporary seat filler.
- President Trump announced on March 5, 2026, that Senator Markwayne Mullin would become the United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
- The appointee must be a registered Oklahoma voter in the Republican party for at least five years and is barred from running for the office in the next special or general election.
- Candidate filing for federal offices is open April 1-3 in Oklahoma.
- Rep. the named outcome is expected to launch a bid for Senate, and Rep. the named outcome is also considering a run for Senate.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt82.2%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.6pt1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 192,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 932,1K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe25.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep57.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.4%
- Republicans sweep11.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 13,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt56.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance+1.0pt23%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio11%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 58,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 487,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Manifold Markets quota Kevin Hern al 75% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria