Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.3%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto23 gen 26, 18:04 UTC3 gen 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company will be the first to deploy >10,000 humanoid robots?
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Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
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PolymarketX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegole
Today at the WEF in Davos, Elon Musk announced that Tesla plans to sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027.
- This market exists to track that predication.
- https://www.axios.com/2026/01/22/elon-musk-tesla-optimus-robots
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/elon-musk-davos-world-economic-forum/
- This market resolves YES if Tesla offers the Optimus robots for sale to the general public (in the US, the EU, or comparably sized set of markets) and completes more than one such sale to a non-Tesla-affiliated buyer, including delivering the robot (no "pay today deliver never" FSD-style shenanigans).
- If the robots are claimed to be out for delivery at market close, resolution will be paused to await their unboxing.
Mercati aperti
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027?
- Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Today at the WEF in Davos, Elon Musk announced that Tesla plans to sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027.